100 RETURN ONLY 9 TRADES AWAY ~ one percent daily forex trading system
Between January and September of this year, several trades were made using my Price Action Methodology to generate gains of 150 Pips on average per trade. The most recent of these came from the AUD NZD and the AUD USD at the start of September which together provided a total of 218 Pips. If an investor or trader with an initial capital of US$100,000 were to use this Methodology as a means of accumulating large rates of return within a few months, he is likely to be able double his capital within 6 months with only a handful of High Probability Trades.
The table below shows some of the trades made earlier this year which represented a sample of those made over the last 6 years (see Past Trades). On average, they required a risk of 105 Pips and provided an average gain of 150 Pips.
TABLE 1 - JANUARY 10 TO SEPTEMBER 17, 2014
The Methodology is such that these trades arise an average of 2 times per month. They rely on the Daily and 4 Hour Charts for entry and exit signals and were held for a pre-determined number of days until their targets were hit. With that initial capital of US$100,000 and starting with the last 2 trades closed in September, the investor or trader would be just 4 months and 9 trades away from generating a 106% return.
AUD NZD TRADE- DAILY CHART
AUD USD TRADE- DAILY CHART
TABLE 2 - TRADES NEEDED IN 4 MONTHS
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| Assumptions - 5% Risk Per Trade, 2-3 Trades/Month, 105 Pips Risk, 150 Pip Reward, No Losses |
The risk per trade would be 5% and only one trade would be executed at a time. Naturally, with all Methodologies, losses can be expected along the way as shown in Table 1. However, given the accuracy of the strategy in picking winners, these losses would only temporarily delay the attainment of this 100% return.
These figures reflect the past and expected accuracy of the Methodology in identifying the best trading opportunities. Trades throughout the Forex can be divided between those with a high probability of success and those with average to low probabilities of success. Smaller Time Frames generally provide the latter while trading strategies based on the Larger Time Frames will always give higher-paying trades for larger returns.
As you would have noticed, the last two trades shown here on the AUD USD and AUD NZD were breakouts from Consolidation boundaries. These setups have become the most common pattern in the Forex market due to the extraordinarily low levels of volatility in 2014. In fact, most of the trades since January have also come from Consolidation breakouts. This requires a strategy that not only delivers in normal trending markets, but also during periods of low volatility that require trading between Support and Resistance as well as breakouts when they finally take place.
Although these results are possible within a fairly short period, they require a lot more discipline and patience relative to Day Trading. They are not as frequent as the trades that are seen on the Smaller Time Frames, but when they do present themselves, the Pips that they offer to traders more than compensate for the wait. The high probability that these trades will be successful when certain criteria are met, also justifies the use of this Methodology by Portfolio Managers dedicated to achieving the short-term and long-term goals of their clients.
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Duane Shepherd
(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)
Currency Analyst/Trader
Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com
Twitter: @WorldWide876
Facebook: DRFXTRADING
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