Tampilkan postingan dengan label why. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label why. Tampilkan semua postingan

Rabu, 18 Mei 2016

Some riskless profit and why it exists - forex trading systems free

Some riskless profit and why it exists ~ forex trading systems free


Numerous commentators have pointed out the enormous yield spread between agencies debt (Fannie/Freddie) and US Treasuries.

Here are some links kindly provided by a reader: 10 yr Fannie/Treasury, 5 yr Fannie/Treasury, 10 yr Freddie/Treasury, and 5 yr Freddie/Treasury.

Currently their spreads are above 150 bp. Since the US government has nationalized Fannie and Freddie, this 150 bp is a riskless profit. As the blog Accrued Interest has pointed out, one reason this riskless profit exists is hedge fund deleveraging: nobody has the risk appetite to arbitrage this spread at a meaningful scale.

Brad Setser, a blogger at the Council of Foreign Relations, suggests that the Chinese government, who does have a lot of cash to benefit from this high yield, should go ahead and buy up these agencies debt. However, if you read the Chinese blogs and online comments, there is enormous internal pressure for the government to spend some of this money on infrastructure projects, social security, health care, etc., so I doubt that the Chinese government will have stabilizing the US mortgage market at the top of its agenda. As a result, arbitrageurs out there should have no fear that this opportunity will disappear any time soon.


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Senin, 16 Mei 2016

Why Newbies Should Stay Away from Automated Forex Software - lmt forex trading system

Why Newbies Should Stay Away from Automated Forex Software ~ lmt forex trading system


Why Newbies Should Stay Away from Automated Forex Software

Exchanging the Forex business sector isnt a simple procedure. Youll need to take in a ton about central and specialized investigation and about different subtleties of exchanging and Forex market specifically. The robotized Forex programming wont help you at this. Its a fairly awful approach to learn, particularly on the off chance that you are new to Forex. The master counselor, regardless of the possibility that beneficial, ought to be designed sufficiently and advanced by new economic situations regularly. A Forex novice just isnt equipped for doing it without enough experience. 

Setting right info parameters relying upon the cash pair, time allotment and conditions you are exchanging on is critical. A Forex master counsel (robot) ought to have the capacity to work in 100% agreement with the business sector. Adding it to various sets will likewise require a tuning of the parameters however will prompt more picks up. 

For another dealer it generally gazes drawing in to set upward the Forex robot to exchange on all cash sets present in the stage, however the more matches it will exchange the more enhancement and adjusting it will require. Whats more, the Forex amateurs arent typically equipped for taking after such a large number of cash sets at once. Specialists suggest concentrating on one or a most extreme of two money sets at once to get all the more comprehension of how the Forex exchanging functions. 

Another issue is presented by the Forex intermediaries. Not all dealers actually acknowledge computerized Forex exchanging, while some of them essentially dont permit it and others constrain the usefulness offered by such programming. On the off chance that sooner or later you choose to begin exchanging with some robotized master counselor youll have to do a careful exploration on Forex agents, finding the one that will acknowledge Forex robot with its strategy for exchanging. 

Most of the Forex robots available is paid and is sold by the not really legitimate advertising individuals. They guarantee a considerable measure yet generally convey a bit (with a great deal of instances of a complete record equalization misfortune). Burning through cash on such Forex programming is an inside and out waste. In the event that you are certain that you have to get some robotized master counsel for money exchanging its generally better to choose a free one. Anyway, paid Forex robots are quite often in view of the free forms - their "creators" simply join a decent sounding name to it and a sticker price. 

On the off chance that you really choose to begin your robotized Forex exchanging - be it with a free robot or a paid one - its generally better to test it on a demo exchanging account first. With a demo account you dont lose genuine cash, however youll have the capacity to perceive how your Forex robot performs. In spite of the fact that the exchanging execution can be distinctive on genuine records of your facilitate, the demo exchanging will give you some essential clue on the matter. 

The last, yet not the slightest in its significance, issue of utilizing the computerized programming for Forex exchanging is that such projects ought to be running continually with no interferences. For that youll likely need a committed server called VPS in light of the fact that your home PC will presumably require rebooting and restarting every once in a while. VPS can be really costly furthermore require some experience to utilize. For another merchant it will be an exceptionally troublesome (or excessively costly) errand, making it impossible to set up a Forex VPS with a working master counselor running on it.

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Selasa, 12 April 2016

SHARP AUD NZD BREAKOUT BUT PULLBACK NEEDED - forex daily trading system review

SHARP AUD NZD BREAKOUT BUT PULLBACK NEEDED ~ forex daily trading system review



OVERALL SCENARIO


  • Consolidation at end of Major Downtrend;
  • Possible Start of Move to Outer Downtrend Line;
  • Broke Resistance of Pennant; 
  • Needs to Pullback to Start New Uptrend;


CHART 1 - END OF DOWNTREND















   
CURRENT SCENARIO

  • Pennant Broken;
  • Candle Signal Too Large;
  • Weekly Range Exceeded;


CHART 2 - PENNANT BREAKOUT

















 ACTION STEPS
  • Wait for a Pullback/Small Consolidation;
  • Wait for another Strong Bull Signal to Start New Weekly Range;
  • Enter Based on Daily Signal or 4H Chart Signal;
  • Aim for 200 Pips;







RECENT EMAIL FROM CLIENT









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Duane Shepherd 
(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)
Currency Analyst/Trader
Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com
Twitter: @WorldWide876
Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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Why are quantitative funds losing money these days - best forex trading system free download

Why are quantitative funds losing money these days ~ best forex trading system free download


The New York Times today has an article about several well-known quantitative hedge funds incurring significant losses in recent months. I was quoted in saying that traders running similar quantitative models could contribute to market volatility. This is certainly true if the strategies are trend-following. What puzzles me, however, is that most statistical arbitrage strategies are mean-reverting: they buy during investors panic, and sell during investors euphoria, and should be richly rewarded in this volatile market by providing sorely needed liquidity. And indeed, from my own experience as well as hearing from other traders, mean-reverting strategies are performing very well recently. So where did those losses come from? My guess is that, as I have observed before, many traditional stat arb strategies are getting boring and generating diminishing returns, and therefore many of the quantitative researchers are driven (by their own professional pride or their bosses) to come up with more exotic and higher-return strategies that ultimately may not stand the test of time. For us quants, remembering Occams razor and that our job is to generate returns as opposed to producing brilliant mathematical models is often a hard lesson to learn.
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Minggu, 03 April 2016

Why Do You Want To Trade Forex - mbfx forex trading system free download

Why Do You Want To Trade Forex ~ mbfx forex trading system free download


The answer to the question above could be simple. "To make money, of course!", you will very likely say. Certainly, there is nothing wrong with that answer. However, one needs to be clearer about ones money goals and the motivation that drives these goals. Otherwise, your trading is very likely influenced by some negative beliefs and thinking habits when you come face to face with fluctuations in market prices. The level of success achieved in any pursuit of wealth will certainly be related to the individuals beliefs about money.

For many Forex traders, their beliefs about the Forex market lead them to display poor trading behaviour and take insane risk levels without realising that they are actually doing so. They believe that the Forex market is a get-rich-quick cash-dispensing "machine", and as a result, all their perceptions of trading strategies and risk management techniques will be distorted by their counter-productive beliefs about the market.

Some people believe that financial freedom is about being able to parade their ownership of many large cars and houses, even if it involves taking huge amounts of loans. As a result, they could be funding their trading accounts with borrowed funds, such that their trading psychology is distorted by fear and anxiety, leading to a snow-balling of their levels of debt, which in turn give rise to a host of negative emotions which are damaging to trading performance.

Furthermore, the attitudes of many towards money are excessively misrepresented by greed and laziness. Inevitably, these people take excessive risk when trading the market, because they are senselessly driven by a desire to generate quick profits. There have been too many aspiring traders falling prey to their own uncontrolled instincts of greed. In addition, traders who allow their laziness to overwhelm their trading behaviour will surely display bad trading performance.

We need to start this business with a clear mind with regard to our financial goals and motivations. Regardless of your financial situations, there are certainly some worthwhile goals in your life which need money. However, many of us are negatively conditioned by certain beliefs about money that lead us to mindlessly run after money without being aware of how our greed tends to distort our ability to act soundly.

As long as we are trading the markets, we cannot escape the fact that we are driven by a desire to make money. In fact, all the emotional mistakes we make when trading the markets stem from a sense of insecurity, i.e. feelings of uncertainty about how much our trading account balance will increase or decrease in value. If you think about it, this insecurity is rooted in a psychological attachment to money, which naturally becomes a sense of greed when it is not controlled. Greed in an excessive desire to acquire greater levels of wealth, and such a desire is often not backed by a rational explanation of the underlying purpose that drives it.

Certainly, our money making quest in trading the Forex market can be ridden by a healthy ambition to acquire wealth, as long as we are able to clearly see that material wealth is rightfully a means to an end, and not an end in itself. In a culture saturated with greed and senseless money-grubbing, it is critical to evaluate our beliefs about money and our psychological relationship with this entity.

To do a personal assessment of some of our attitudes which are very relevant to our success in Forex trading, we need to ask ourselves the following questions:
  1. Do I consider Forex trading as a form of business?
  2. Have I clearly and specifically defined my objectives in this business?
  3. Do I have a systematic way of ensuring that the probability of achieving my objectives is reasonably high despite all kinds of changes in market dynamics?
  4. Do I know the reasons for my choice of Forex trading as a business?
  5. Do I have a regular routine to follow in order to guide my trading process on a daily basis?
  6. Do I have tested and proven trading strategies that regulate all my trading decisions in all market conditions?
  7. Do I really understand the importance of taking losses in the Forex market?
  8. Do I have systematic ways of cutting losses short and letting profits run?
  9. Do I have a plan for determining how big or small each trading position should be?
  10. Do I truly understand the significance of how my beliefs about money and about the market will impact every aspect of my trading process?
If you can emphatically answer "Yes" to each of the questions above, then you are way ahead of most traders!
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Sabtu, 26 Maret 2016

An update on why quantitative funds are losing money recently - best forex trading system ever

An update on why quantitative funds are losing money recently ~ best forex trading system ever


A story just came through Dow Jones newswire ("How Black Boxes Became Pandoras Boxes" by Spencer Jakab) suggesting that recent losses are due to factor models gone bad. Given my expressed distaste for such models, that should have been my first guess instead of blaming the "exotic" models!
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