SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN - mbfx forex trading system v2.0

SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN ~ mbfx forex trading system v2.0

The last 13 Months have proven to be both challenging and rewarding with this new Price Action Swing Trading Methodology. Transitioning from Day Trading to Swing Trading is very difficult especially if you - like myself- have spent most of your trading years glued to the computer screen in search of immediate gains each day, only to be constantly disappointed. Swing Trading solves most of the problems associated with Day Trading and provides a more solid foundation upon which to establish a viable source of Long-Term Wealth.

THE PERFORMANCE

The Trade Setup Service, which was started on July 1, 2014, involves providing detailed trade information on trading opportunities on the Daily and 4 Hour Charts for Subscribers to trade on their personal accounts. Assuming a level of risk of 5% per trade, a Subscriber would now have generated a Rate of Return equivalent to 35%-from 15 Trades. This has come from 9 winning trades and 6 losses.

RATE OF RETURN

JULY 1, 2014 - JULY 23, 2015

At this current rate of growth, this Subscriber would now only need 6 more trades to achieve a remarkable Rate of Return of 100%. 

100% RATE OF RETURN IN 3 MONTHS

         (Assumes an Average Risk & Gain of 105 Pips and 150 Pips, respectively)

By continuing to trade the Currency Markets with this unique Methodology, you too will be able to attain your major Short to Long-Term Monetary Goals. 

THE STRATEGY

FXCM Charts are used to provide the entry signals from the Daily Chart, as this platform uses the New York Close Candle of the Daily Chart - crucial to this Price Action Methodology. Stop Losses range from 90 and 120 Pips, depending on the time frame used, while the targeted Pips Per Trade is between 100 to 200 Pips. Targeting fewer than 100 Pips exposes your trades to the more volatile, lower probability setups while aiming above 200 Pips risks pullbacks that take away your gains.

Trades are usually held for a few days, with the actual number of days depending on the individual trade. This holding period acts as an anchor that controls our greed so that we do not hold out for more than the market is offering. Based on this rule, some of these trades have had to be closed earlier than planned if they had not reached their targets on the last day of the holding period.

THE TRADES 

Following a somewhat shaky start with the initial 100 Pip loss on the AUD USD, the Methodology was able to recover with consistent gains in subsequent months. These included the AUD NZD, the AUD USD and the GBP CAD.

AUD NZD TRADE - 69 PIPS

AUD USD TRADE - 148 PIPS

GBP CAD TRADE - 199 PIPS

The AUD NZD trade was an example of a trade that had to be closed early. The original target of over 100 Pips was expected to be hit within the allotted time, especially since we were breaking out from a Consolidation. However, even though I believed that this was going to go higher, I had to closed the trade in order to comply with my rule. As you can appreciate from that pullback below the Trend Line, this was the correct decision - a difficult one after an initial loss, but a necessary one.

The AUD USD trade was a prime example of the discipline and patience demanded of us in order to be successful Swing Traders. As you can see from the graph, there was a sharp pullback bullish that took the trade right back to the Entry Price just before it U-Turned to hit our target. Had we been constantly monitoring the trade as we used to do as Day Traders, we would have began to panic and second-guess ourselves tempting us to close the trade for a small gain. After all, a small gain is always better than a loss any day of the week. However....

If a trade is going to be successful, it has to be allowed to move according to the natural waves of the market. Ideally, we want our trades to move quickly to our targets - as was the case with the GBP CAD above - but the reality is that the market does not always move on our schedule. In order for winning trades to captured, therefore, we must not interfere with the natural dynamic of the market.

It is for this reason that I have included in the Trade Setup sent to Subscribers, the Guideline of never monitoring a trade while it is in motion.

Configure your trading platform so that you only see that the trade is still open without seeing the actual graph, floating balance or account balance. This is a crucial safeguard required to keep our emotions out of the picture.

As with all strategies, there are periods of losing streaks that have to be faced before we can continue towards our targets. The last three trades have led to losses with the latest one coming from the GBP USD. Although these periods are challenging, they are easier to face and overcome compared to Day Trading. This is because the time in between Swing Trades is sufficient to allow us to objectively analyze these trades and regain our composure and objectivity ahead of the next opportunity.

With Day Trading, we believed we could not afford to sit back because there was always another trade within a few hours that could erase the losing ones and make us "feel better". This left little time to ensure that the next trade was not hastily and emotionally taken in order get quick "revenge" on the market and the brokers.

SUMMARY

If Long-Term Wealth is your goal, then Swing Trading the Currency Market will definitely help you along this journey. We have been made to believe that things need to happen immediately and that waiting patiently for anything is the greatest sin of all. Rome was not built in a day and neither is significant Financial Independence. The Forex Market is a very attractive market to trade but where is stated that the only way to benefit from it is to trade it every day or whenever we want?

By trading only twice per month and thereby minimizing your exposure to this dangerous market, that 35% Return is comparable to most conservative investments instruments. Even if you decided to risk only 2% Per Trade, you would have still earned a significant return of 14%...

RATE OF RETURN AT 2% RISK PER TRADE

In either case, you would be right up there with the best in the industry...

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GBP USD CLOSE TO WEEKLY RANGE - forex trading system rules

GBP USD CLOSE TO WEEKLY RANGE ~ forex trading system rules

The GBP USD has been moving in step with the EURO USD as both pairs decline in sync with strong gains for the Greenback across the Forex market.  Similar to the EURO USD, the Sterling pair is closing in on its Weekly Range target which lies only 120 pips away. When that area is hit in the next few days, we could see a temporary pullback or consolidation take place before the downtrend continues. On the other hand, the slow and staggered nature of the downtrend also points to the possibility of a large Range being formed in the months ahead.

Daily Chart below shows that the pair is very close to hitting its first Weekly Range target of the new downtrend.

DAILY CHART

Within a very short time after hitting this price area, we could see one of two alternate scenarios unfolding.

SCENARIO 1

• A Pullback/Small Consolidation;
• New Bearish Signal to Continue Downtrend;

If the downtrend is going to continue in the next few weeks, we could either have a temporary pullback or a small consolidation being formed. This will then give way to another bearish signal to resume the existing trend direction.

DAILY CHART

  

After resuming the trend, the currency pair will decline until the 2nd Weekly Range Target is hit.

SCENARIO 2

• A Rally that starts a Consolidation;

The slow nature of the downtrend suggests that a Consolidation could also be formed over the next few months. If this is going to take the form of a Range, then the Weekly Range target that will be hit would represent the Support boundary of that Range.

DAILY CHART

 

Only time and traders will show us what actually transpires in the next few days. However, given the manner in which currency pairs behave based on the types of candles and their Weekly Range, these are likely to be the scenarios to look out for going forward.

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Duane Shepherd 

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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MONTHLY RANGE PUTS EURO AUD AT MAJOR CROSSROADS - forex trading system simple

MONTHLY RANGE PUTS EURO AUD AT MAJOR CROSSROADS ~ forex trading system simple

After completing a Bear Crown setup that led to a strong downtrend of over 1,000 Pips, the EURO AUD is now at a crossroads that could either lead to more gains for the Aussie or a strong trend change altogether.

The Chart below shows how this downtrend began, the breaks of the Uptrend Lines and the current Pennant setup that the pair has now formed. 

DAILY CHART

Bull and Bear Crowns as well as the breaks of Trend Lines are typically what we see when major trend changes take place. Traders can either enter at the start and hold trades for long periods or can aggressively trade the waves of the trend. As this trend continued to create lower lows, the Monthly Range of the pair was also breached. Trends that reach this important price point will either pause for a period before resuming the trend or change direction. In the chart below, we can see that this pause took the form of a Pennant that was eventually broken, indicating that we could see a continuation of the downtrend. 

DAILY CHART

On the other hand, as we can also see from the chart above, the current Pennant that has been formed has moved the pair above the Inner Downtrend Line. This could indicate that the current downtrend may actually be coming to an end, given the slow and unconvincing breakout from the larger Pennant. Currency pairs can exceed their Monthly Ranges to give the impression that the trend will continue but the longer the trend takes to get going, the more likely that a trend change will take place. The chart below shows how these two scenarios could unfold.

DAILY CHART 

A simple bearish breakout from the Pennant could be the signal required to continue the existing trend. If the candle given to start this breakout is strong enough, entry can take place there with the appropriate target of between 100 and 200 Pips. However, this Pennant may also be the Centre Tip of a possible Bull Crown that starts a new trend above the Downtrend Lines. One would have to wait for a Right Tip that completes the Bull Crown or another formation before considering entry to go long. Strong trend changes require strong setups and the current Pennant is not large enough to support a trend change. 

Only time will tell what takes place with this currency pair. Regardless of the ultimate direction, we can take advantage by patiently waiting on the appropriate Daily and 4 Hour Chart signals for profitable trades.

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Duane Shepherd 

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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255 PIPS ON OFFER FROM NZD CAD THIS WEEK - forex mutant trading system

255 PIPS ON OFFER FROM NZD CAD THIS WEEK ~ forex mutant trading system

A Large Range Setup appears to be forming on the Daily Chart of the NZD CAD that could offer us up to 255 Pips this week. The Support Boundary has already been formed at the 0,8335 area and once we see continued gains for the CAD, this will take us back to Support and complete the Resistance Boundary and the Range.

The overall setup can be seen in the graph below. The pattern of movements that have taken place in the last few months appears to indicate the formation of this large Consolidation in the days ahead.

POSSIBLE RANGE SETUP - DAILY CHART

If the pair continues to decline in the next few days, the Resistance Boundary would be formed at 0,8855 to complement the Support area at 0,8335.

RESISTANCE & SUPPORT BOUNDARIES - DAILY CHART

With a distance of 255 Pips from the current market price to the Support area, Swing Traders could realize a large trading gain once the pair gets going again. This would follow the current sideways movement now taking place on the Daily & 4 Hour Charts.

EXPECTED TRADING GAINS - DAILY CHART

PENNANT SETUP - 4 HOUR CHART

When this downtrend finally resumes, we will actually be continuing the breakout from this Pennant Setup. The Support was initially broken with a Bearish Candle and has been followed by a pull back and U-Turn as the market "tests" the broken Support. Once this is done and we start to see additional bear candles, short positions can be opened as long as our Entry and Stop Loss Placements are correctly done according to the Trade Sheet for Consolidation Breakouts from the Trading Manual...

It is fairly easy for us to spot Consolidation Setups and trade them after they have been formed across all time frames. However, the challenge has always been to spot the signs that they are being formed so that we can quickly adjust our strategies from a Trend Trading one to a Consolidation Trading strategy. 


So how do we trade this?


There are several technical factors in the currency market that tell us when these setups are being formed. Many of them relate to how long a trend has been in place before it begins to move sideways or whether we have recently broken a major Trend Line. These and many other factors that lead to these setups can be found in Section 4 Part 2 of the Manual...

As soon as you spot these factors at work on your charts, you can begin drawing the expected lines of Support and Resistance. Once the distance between these boundaries is far enough to allow for trades of between 100 and 200 Pips - comfortably - strong gains can be had as long as the trade meets the requirements set out in Part 3 of the Manual...

The key is to now wait on the appropriate signal on the Daily Chart to start taking advantage of the move to Support and the breakout from the 4 Hour Chart Pennant.

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EURO USD TRADING GAIN AHEAD OF STRONG REVERSAL - forex lines 7 trading system review

EURO USD TRADING GAIN AHEAD OF STRONG REVERSAL ~ forex lines 7 trading system review

The EURO USD provided us with a small trading gain of 46 Pips on Thursday as we took advantage of the sharp Bullish Reversal that was predicted in December 2015. The original trading target was 165 Pips but by the end of the Holding Period established for this trade this had not been hit, obligating us to close our trade for the smaller profit. During this trade, a sharp bearish pullback had threatened our Stop Loss, coming within 5 Pips of taking out our trade. 

This pullback would have tempted many to exit the trade for fear of being stopped out. However, thanks to the rule that we have of never looking at our trades while they are open, we were able to capture this trading gain as the market u-turned and rallied once more. As a result, this trade, combined with the 138 Pips from the GBP USD, has now given us a good start to 2016 with a Rate of Return of 9.4%.

The screenshot below is taken from the Private Video Analysis we did for the EURO USD in December which predicted the sharp rally. 

As can be seen from the current patterns for this pair, this was exactly what occurred in the last few days. This provided us with the trading gain as we entered at one of the Bullish Candlestick Signals.

The chart below shows our Entry Setup on the 4 Hour Chart, including the original target that was set at the Resistance Boundary of the Range.

Entry and our Stop Loss placement were done using this ABC setup - a setup that was predicted a few days earlier...

Now this is where it got interesting. For traders who choose to follow their trades, the pullback that took place after entry would have led many to close the trade as the market began reversing towards the Stop Loss.

This would have led to an unnecessary loss instead of the trading gains offered by the rally that eventually took place. The temptation to monitor our trades while they are in motion is very common. It is very natural to want to ensure that our trades are heading towards our targets without any pullbacks that threaten our Stops. While this can prevent some losses, it is a habit that can affect our long-term profitability. 

The Forex, like all markets, has a natural tendency to move in waves towards its daily, weekly, monthly and yearly targets. This reflects the changing value of currency pairs in response to changes in economic fundamentals and investor sentiment. It is therefore necessary for us to expect this for all our trades and not interfere. This is why it is crucial to adjust your platform so that you do not see the chart of the trade open nor the balance but only the tab that shows you whether the trade is still open.

Another important issue related to this trade was the Holding Period. Keeping our trades open for too short a period can curtail our profitability while having them open for too long can expose us open to unnecessary volatility. It is for this reason why a specific time period is used for each type of trade to establish a balance between these two extremes. 

When the Holding Period for this trade had ended, we had to close the trade regardless of the floating profit/loss at the time. This decision was later proven to be accurate as you can see from the pullback now taking place.

This trade highlighted many of the important things we need to succeed at trading over the long-term. These relate to the technical factors that determine our decision to execute a trade but more importantly the emotional aspects of trading - the traders Achilles Heel. 

Watching our trades can feel like the right thing to do to ensure profitability given the volatility of this market. However, this can be a serious hindrance to success if this leads to the habit of constantly closing trades before they have a chance to hit our targets. By adhering to the rule of not watching your trades and obeying the Holding Period, you will be assured of maximum gains for each trade ahead of sharp market reversals.

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