SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN - mbfx forex trading system v2.0

SUMMARY OF 35 RATE OF RETURN ~ mbfx forex trading system v2.0

The last 13 Months have proven to be both challenging and rewarding with this new Price Action Swing Trading Methodology. Transitioning from Day Trading to Swing Trading is very difficult especially if you - like myself- have spent most of your trading years glued to the computer screen in search of immediate gains each day, only to be constantly disappointed. Swing Trading solves most of the problems associated with Day Trading and provides a more solid foundation upon which to establish a viable source of Long-Term Wealth.

THE PERFORMANCE

The Trade Setup Service, which was started on July 1, 2014, involves providing detailed trade information on trading opportunities on the Daily and 4 Hour Charts for Subscribers to trade on their personal accounts. Assuming a level of risk of 5% per trade, a Subscriber would now have generated a Rate of Return equivalent to 35%-from 15 Trades. This has come from 9 winning trades and 6 losses.

RATE OF RETURN

JULY 1, 2014 - JULY 23, 2015

At this current rate of growth, this Subscriber would now only need 6 more trades to achieve a remarkable Rate of Return of 100%. 

100% RATE OF RETURN IN 3 MONTHS

         (Assumes an Average Risk & Gain of 105 Pips and 150 Pips, respectively)

By continuing to trade the Currency Markets with this unique Methodology, you too will be able to attain your major Short to Long-Term Monetary Goals. 

THE STRATEGY

FXCM Charts are used to provide the entry signals from the Daily Chart, as this platform uses the New York Close Candle of the Daily Chart - crucial to this Price Action Methodology. Stop Losses range from 90 and 120 Pips, depending on the time frame used, while the targeted Pips Per Trade is between 100 to 200 Pips. Targeting fewer than 100 Pips exposes your trades to the more volatile, lower probability setups while aiming above 200 Pips risks pullbacks that take away your gains.

Trades are usually held for a few days, with the actual number of days depending on the individual trade. This holding period acts as an anchor that controls our greed so that we do not hold out for more than the market is offering. Based on this rule, some of these trades have had to be closed earlier than planned if they had not reached their targets on the last day of the holding period.

THE TRADES 

Following a somewhat shaky start with the initial 100 Pip loss on the AUD USD, the Methodology was able to recover with consistent gains in subsequent months. These included the AUD NZD, the AUD USD and the GBP CAD.

AUD NZD TRADE - 69 PIPS

AUD USD TRADE - 148 PIPS

GBP CAD TRADE - 199 PIPS

The AUD NZD trade was an example of a trade that had to be closed early. The original target of over 100 Pips was expected to be hit within the allotted time, especially since we were breaking out from a Consolidation. However, even though I believed that this was going to go higher, I had to closed the trade in order to comply with my rule. As you can appreciate from that pullback below the Trend Line, this was the correct decision - a difficult one after an initial loss, but a necessary one.

The AUD USD trade was a prime example of the discipline and patience demanded of us in order to be successful Swing Traders. As you can see from the graph, there was a sharp pullback bullish that took the trade right back to the Entry Price just before it U-Turned to hit our target. Had we been constantly monitoring the trade as we used to do as Day Traders, we would have began to panic and second-guess ourselves tempting us to close the trade for a small gain. After all, a small gain is always better than a loss any day of the week. However....

If a trade is going to be successful, it has to be allowed to move according to the natural waves of the market. Ideally, we want our trades to move quickly to our targets - as was the case with the GBP CAD above - but the reality is that the market does not always move on our schedule. In order for winning trades to captured, therefore, we must not interfere with the natural dynamic of the market.

It is for this reason that I have included in the Trade Setup sent to Subscribers, the Guideline of never monitoring a trade while it is in motion.

Configure your trading platform so that you only see that the trade is still open without seeing the actual graph, floating balance or account balance. This is a crucial safeguard required to keep our emotions out of the picture.

As with all strategies, there are periods of losing streaks that have to be faced before we can continue towards our targets. The last three trades have led to losses with the latest one coming from the GBP USD. Although these periods are challenging, they are easier to face and overcome compared to Day Trading. This is because the time in between Swing Trades is sufficient to allow us to objectively analyze these trades and regain our composure and objectivity ahead of the next opportunity.

With Day Trading, we believed we could not afford to sit back because there was always another trade within a few hours that could erase the losing ones and make us "feel better". This left little time to ensure that the next trade was not hastily and emotionally taken in order get quick "revenge" on the market and the brokers.

SUMMARY

If Long-Term Wealth is your goal, then Swing Trading the Currency Market will definitely help you along this journey. We have been made to believe that things need to happen immediately and that waiting patiently for anything is the greatest sin of all. Rome was not built in a day and neither is significant Financial Independence. The Forex Market is a very attractive market to trade but where is stated that the only way to benefit from it is to trade it every day or whenever we want?

By trading only twice per month and thereby minimizing your exposure to this dangerous market, that 35% Return is comparable to most conservative investments instruments. Even if you decided to risk only 2% Per Trade, you would have still earned a significant return of 14%...

RATE OF RETURN AT 2% RISK PER TRADE

In either case, you would be right up there with the best in the industry...

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Picking up nickels in front of steamrollers - forex trading eur usd strategies

Picking up nickels in front of steamrollers ~ forex trading eur usd strategies

When I was growing up in the trading world, high Sharpe ratio was the holy grail. People kept forgetting the possibility of "black swan" events, only recently popularized by Nassim Taleb, which can wipe out years of steady gains in one disastrous stroke. (For a fascinating interview of Taleb by the famous Malcolm Gladwell, see this old New Yorker article. It includes a contrast with Victor Niederhoffers trading style, plus a rare close-up view of the painful daily operations of Talebs hedge fund.)

Now, however, the pendulum seems to have swung a little too far in the other direction. Whenever I mention a high Sharpe-ratio strategy to some experienced investor, I am often confronted with dark musings of "picking up nickels in front of steamrollers", as if all high Sharpe-ratio strategies consist of shorting out-of-the-money call options.

But many high Sharpe-ratio strategies are not akin to shorting out-of-the-money calls. My favorite example is that of short-term mean-reverting strategies. These strategies not only provide consistent small gains under normal market conditions, but in contrast to shorting calls, they make out-size gains especially when disasters struck. Indeed, they give us the best of both worlds. (Proof? Just backtest any short-term mean-reverting strategies over 2008 data.) How can that be?

There are multiple reasons why short-term mean-reverting strategies have such delightful properties:

1. Typically, we enter into positions only after the disaster has struck, not before.
   
2. If you believe a certain market is mean-reverting, and your strategy buy low and sell high, then of course you will make much more money when the market is abnormally depressed.
3. Even in the rare occasion when the market does not mean-revert after a disaster, the market is unlikely to go down much further during the short time period when we are holding the position.

"Short-term" is indeed the key to the success of these strategies. In contrast to the LTCM debacle, where they would keep piling on to a losing position day after day hoping it would mean-revert some day, short-term traders liquidate their positions at the end of a fixed time period, whether they win or lose. This greatly limits the possibility of ruin and leaves our equity intact to fight another day in the statistical game.

So, call me old-fashioned, but I still love high Sharpe-ratio strategies.
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EURO USD TRADING GAIN AHEAD OF STRONG REVERSAL - forex lines 7 trading system review

EURO USD TRADING GAIN AHEAD OF STRONG REVERSAL ~ forex lines 7 trading system review

The EURO USD provided us with a small trading gain of 46 Pips on Thursday as we took advantage of the sharp Bullish Reversal that was predicted in December 2015. The original trading target was 165 Pips but by the end of the Holding Period established for this trade this had not been hit, obligating us to close our trade for the smaller profit. During this trade, a sharp bearish pullback had threatened our Stop Loss, coming within 5 Pips of taking out our trade. 

This pullback would have tempted many to exit the trade for fear of being stopped out. However, thanks to the rule that we have of never looking at our trades while they are open, we were able to capture this trading gain as the market u-turned and rallied once more. As a result, this trade, combined with the 138 Pips from the GBP USD, has now given us a good start to 2016 with a Rate of Return of 9.4%.

The screenshot below is taken from the Private Video Analysis we did for the EURO USD in December which predicted the sharp rally. 

As can be seen from the current patterns for this pair, this was exactly what occurred in the last few days. This provided us with the trading gain as we entered at one of the Bullish Candlestick Signals.

The chart below shows our Entry Setup on the 4 Hour Chart, including the original target that was set at the Resistance Boundary of the Range.

Entry and our Stop Loss placement were done using this ABC setup - a setup that was predicted a few days earlier...

Now this is where it got interesting. For traders who choose to follow their trades, the pullback that took place after entry would have led many to close the trade as the market began reversing towards the Stop Loss.

This would have led to an unnecessary loss instead of the trading gains offered by the rally that eventually took place. The temptation to monitor our trades while they are in motion is very common. It is very natural to want to ensure that our trades are heading towards our targets without any pullbacks that threaten our Stops. While this can prevent some losses, it is a habit that can affect our long-term profitability. 

The Forex, like all markets, has a natural tendency to move in waves towards its daily, weekly, monthly and yearly targets. This reflects the changing value of currency pairs in response to changes in economic fundamentals and investor sentiment. It is therefore necessary for us to expect this for all our trades and not interfere. This is why it is crucial to adjust your platform so that you do not see the chart of the trade open nor the balance but only the tab that shows you whether the trade is still open.

Another important issue related to this trade was the Holding Period. Keeping our trades open for too short a period can curtail our profitability while having them open for too long can expose us open to unnecessary volatility. It is for this reason why a specific time period is used for each type of trade to establish a balance between these two extremes. 

When the Holding Period for this trade had ended, we had to close the trade regardless of the floating profit/loss at the time. This decision was later proven to be accurate as you can see from the pullback now taking place.

This trade highlighted many of the important things we need to succeed at trading over the long-term. These relate to the technical factors that determine our decision to execute a trade but more importantly the emotional aspects of trading - the traders Achilles Heel. 

Watching our trades can feel like the right thing to do to ensure profitability given the volatility of this market. However, this can be a serious hindrance to success if this leads to the habit of constantly closing trades before they have a chance to hit our targets. By adhering to the rule of not watching your trades and obeying the Holding Period, you will be assured of maximum gains for each trade ahead of sharp market reversals.

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Swing Trading vs Day Trading Has the Debate Ended - omni forex trading system review

Swing Trading vs Day Trading Has the Debate Ended ~ omni forex trading system review

Within the context of the ongoing debate between Swing Trading and Day Trading, these early results from my Methodology appear to tip scale decisively towards Swing Trading. Only 7 trades have been done so far and to date, the results have already beaten the Year-to-Date returns of 80% of the Top Traders Ranked by BarclayHedge. With only 9 trades left for this strategy to generate a 100% return for my clients (sadly, cost of Manual will go up accordingly- see Table), Day Trading may soon by a thing of the past as you spend less time trading and more time earning.

Currency Trading can be a very lucrative means of earning income on a short and long-term basis. The most popular way of doing this by traders has been to profit from the intra-day changes in a currency’s value, during the most liquid trading sessions of the day. However, given the difficulty of consistently modelling the random price behaviour of a financial asset class at this micro level, sustainable success from this approach can be an elusive goal. Instead, if traders focused on the clearer trends provided by the Larger Time Frames, they can achieve of more consistent rate of success.

Swing Trading takes advantage of the clearer and more reliable breakout signals and trends of the Daily and 4 Hour Charts. It is a style of trading that is similar to Long-Term Trend trading in which positions are taken based on the longer-term fundamental value of a currency. However, given the time horizon of Swing Trades - 2 to 7 days- some of these trades will either be in line with that value or diverge from it in the short-term.

Among the benefits of Swing Trading are;

• Stronger Trends with Larger Pips per Trade;
• Accuracy of Signals, with fewer False Breakouts;
• Predictable Times for Analysis and Trade Execution;
• Fewer Trades needed for Large Rates of Return;
• Compatibility with a non-Forex 9-5 Schedule;

This style of trading also allows traders to sidestep the volatility surrounding the release of macroeconomic data each week. Several important reports related to the major currencies can provide an indication about market direction during the day. Nevertheless, due to the subjective and conflicting interpretation of these by traders, large spikes in prices tend to appear, taking out small Stop Losses and eroding the Day Trader’s profitability.

In addition to the significant personal benefits, Retail Traders will also be better able to offer their services to Prop Trading houses and Hedge Funds that want this style of trading - earning very large commissions in the process. Based on these early results...

RATE OF RETURN FROM METHODOLOGY

...this should not be hard to do.

 

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Duane Shepherd

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING
Website: www.drfxswingtrading.com

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RATE OF RETURN NOW 13 0 ON SMALL AUD CAD TRADE - forex odyssey trading system

RATE OF RETURN NOW 13 0 ON SMALL AUD CAD TRADE ~ forex odyssey trading system

This trade was intended to take advantage of a sharp breakout short from a Pennant Consolidation, with the target set for its Breakout Equivalent. All Consolidations have Breakout Equivalents (B.E.) - it is the area that they break towards before pulling back. They will either pause here to then resume the trend or become volatile and reverse. Nevertheless, once spotted and measured accurately, one should either be exiting your trades there (see the AUD USD 148 Pip Trade and the AUD NZD 70 Pip Trade) or avoiding entries at these areas altogether.

In this instance, the pair had already broken out from a previous Range and was now breaking a Pennant. 



DAILY CHART - AUD CAD

(FXCM Charts used for Trade Signals- Dukascopy used for Live Trades)

Based on the way I had originally measured the B.E. for this Range, it would not be hit until a few hundred pips. However after analyzing the chart again for confirmation that my Entry Setup was correct, I realized the error and exited immediately. This provided only a small gain of 9,6 Pips, but was much better than what would have taken place if it was left any longer.


This was the entry setup on the 4 Hour Chart. It required waiting on the market to pullback so that my Stop Loss would have met the criterion in the strategy.


4 HOUR CHART - TRADE SETUP

Entry then took place as the market pulled back to trigger the entry but shortly after, I realized that this B.E. was actually at the Entry Price of my trade.


DAILY CHART

Luckily I was able to come out before the rally took place, which would have taken out the Stop Loss.


DAILY CHART- PULLBACK

Following this trade which pushed the rate of return to 13.0%, my Subscribers are still 9 trades away from a 100% return.

RATE OF RETURN FROM METHODOLOGY

The FXCM Demo Account that you will see in MyFxbook does not reflect this trade. The entry order was not triggered due to the natural differences in prices that takes place across trading platforms.


Mistakes like these are par for the course. Sometimes they lead to large losses, but sometimes you get lucky with only a small loss or gain. It can be very difficult to exit a trade that has the potential for large gains. However, this is perhaps the best trading decision that one will make when large sums of your funds or those of your clients are at stake.

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Duane Shepherd

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING
Website: www.drfxswingtrading.com

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Benefits of the Forex Killer - forex ichimoku trading system

Benefits of the Forex Killer ~ forex ichimoku trading system

The Forex killer is a thinking automated forex software.It even out smarts the humans in taking proper decisions.

However, people are still half in doubt and thus, we dare to pose the question: Is it really an answer to our FOREX dilemmas? To use the FOREX Killer, requires the inputting of data concerning the closing prices of the last 10 bars of a certain currency. After which, the user would only need to click on "calculate" to trigger the FOREX killer and enable it to inform the user as to which of the three actions that were inputted is the best choice. Sounds simple enough, right? So if youre a newbie to the FOREX trading industry, having something like this software would be a very helpful tool to getting you started and acquainted with the ins and outs of the market.

The FOREX killer makes trading easier for the trader himself through the automation of many of the tasks which can be tedious and stressful for the user. All the analyzing and the monitoring can really get to the user but all those stress inducing tasks are eliminated by the software. It basically does your job for you minus the drama and the stress. It also focuses on just one area of information at a time thus preventing the user from getting distracted by other things. After all, there are so many trades going on everyday one cant help but get a little distracted by the goings on. Many believe that the best benefit that this software gives is its accuracy. But you do understand that this is an expert advertiser not an active trader, right?

Criticism is what the forex killer can expect from the other quarters.This is because the software fails to take into the account the volatile nature of trading.It can at best,give the accurate output for a given input.But if the data in the input doesnt cater to the volatility of the market,the software cannot make it up for that all by itself.

This is in fact, true. Foreign currency trade is a very complicated game of speculation, after all, and the machines best possible bet is to come up with near accurate predictions when it comes to how high or low a currencys value might become. Using this tool would give the user a better advantage as well as a higher chance of getting the best guess at what might happen. There have been studies that show how the software helped improve a users trading signal efficiency by 13.4% and in the world of FOREX trading that indeed is a very significant number. So even if you are just a newbie trader looking to try your hand at trading or if you are an experienced trader, having this software at your disposal would definitely increase your chances at gaining more profits.

By SteveComet
About the Author:
Steve Comet, a pseudonym, is a group of experienced forex traders. Our team has reviewed all the different forex autotradersthat exist, and found out the ones wich work. Check out ourforex autotrader reviews
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USD CHF 100s OF PIPS BULLISH OR BEARISH - forex trading system reviews

USD CHF 100s OF PIPS BULLISH OR BEARISH ~ forex trading system reviews

Hundreds of Pips in either direction appear to be possible for the next few weeks if we see strong Bullish or Bearish breakout signals. The Weekly Range has recently been hit after a very long and slow trend and has now settled above a major Downtrend Line. A convincing Bullish Candle break above Resistance would put the 0,9400 area in play, while a break short to also take out the Uptrend Line would make 0,8700 the long-term bearish target.

The currency pair has started to move within a small Range above the Inner Uptrend Line, following a rally to the 0,9100 area.

DAILY CHART

The gains for the Swiss Franc also put the pair above a major Outer Trend Line of a previous Downtrend.


DAILY CHART

As you can see, the recent uptrend was part of a break from the Inner Trend Line to the Outer Trend Line of that Downtrend. From this point, the market could either break higher for an even stronger Uptrend or break lower to resume the overall Downtrend. In continuing higher, the Daily Chart would first have to break the Resistance of its current Range setup.

DAILY CHART

The first major target would be the next Weekly Range which would be at the 0,9435 area. Short-term targets will be hit along the way as traders exit profitable positions in this new uptrend. Equally profitable targets could also be hit going short if there is a breakout bearish from this Range along with a break of the Outer Uptrend Line.

DAILY CHART

Before breaking bearish, the currency pair could actually spend a little longer in this Range to carry it closer to the Outer Trend Line. At times, trend changes that involve Consolidation breakouts tend to take place simultaneously with Trend Line breaks to make the start of the new trend even more convincing (TRADE TIP).

See how the concept of the Weekly Range and Consolidation breakouts worked on past trades in the Free Preview of the Trading Manual;

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SUBSCRIBE TODAY

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US$120.00

Free 

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Duane Shepherd 

(M.Sc. Economics, B.Sc. Management and Economics)

Currency Analyst/Trader

Contact: shepherdduane@gmail.com

Twitter: @WorldWide876

Facebook: DRFXTRADING 

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What You Didn’t Know About The Psychology Of Forex Market Trading – And How It Might Bankrupt You - forex king kong trading system

What You Didn’t Know About The Psychology Of Forex Market Trading – And How It Might Bankrupt You ~ forex king kong trading system

by: Joseph Plazo


When it comes to trading on the Forex market, winning is a matter of the mind rather than mind over matter. Any trader who’s been in the game for any length of time will tell you that psychology has a lot to do with both your own performance on the trading floor and with the way that the market is moving. Playing a winning hand depends on knowing your own mind – and understanding the way that psychology moves the market.

Studying the psychology of the market is nothing new. It doesn’t take a genius to understand that any arena that rides and falls on decisions made by people is going to be heavily influenced by the minds of people. Few people take into account all the various levels of mind games that motivate the market, though. If you keep your eye on the way that psychology influences others – including the mass psychology of the people that use the currency on a daily basis – but neglect to know what moves you, you’re going to end up hurting your own position. The best Forex coaches will tell you that before you can really become a successful trader, you have to know yourself and the triggers that influence you. Knowing those will help you overcome them or use them. Are you saying ‘Huh?” about now? Believe me, I understand. I felt the same way the first time that someone tried to explain how the mind games we play with ourselves influence the trades and decisions that we make. Let me break it down into more manageable pieces for you.

Anything involving winning or losing large sums of money becomes emotionally charged.

All right. You’ve heard that playing the market is a mathematical game. Plug in the right numbers, make the right calculations and you’ll come out ahead. So why is it that so many traders end up on the losing end of the market? After all, everyone has access to the same numbers, the same data, the same info – if it’s math, there’s only one right answer, right?

The answer lies in interpretation. The numbers don’t lie, but your mind does. Your hopes and fears can make you see things that just aren’t there. When you invest in a currency, you’re investing more than just money – you make an emotional investment. Being ‘right’ becomes important. Being ‘wrong’ doesn’t just cost you money when you let yourself be ruled by your emotions – it costs you pride. Why else would you let a loser ride in the hope that it will bounce back? It’s that little thing inside your head that says, “I KNOW I’m right on this, dammit!”

Bottom line: You can’t keep emotions out of the picture, but you can learn not to let them control your decisions.

To most people, being right is more important than making money.

Here’s the deal. The way to make real money in the forex market is to cut your losses short and let your winners ride. In order to do that, you have GOT to accept that some of your trades are going to lose, cut them loose and move on to another trade. You’ve got to accept that picking a loser is NOT an indication of your self-worth, it’s not a reflection on who you are. It’s simply a loss, and the best way to deal with it is to stop losing money by moving on – and really move on. Moving on means you don’t keep a running total of how many losses you’ve had – that’s the way to paralyze yourself. This brings us to the next point:

Losing traders see loss as failure. Winning traders see loss as learning.

Not too long ago, my twelve year old son told me that before Thomas Edison invented a working light bulb, he invented 100 light bulbs that didn’t work. But he didn’t give up – because he knew that creating a source of light from electricity was possible. He believed in his overall theory – so when one design didn’t work, he simply knew that he’d eliminated one possibility. Keep eliminating possibilities long enough, and you’ll eventually find the possibility that works.

Winning traders see loss in the same way. They haven’t failed – they’ve learned something new about the way that they and the market work.

Winning traders can look at the big picture while playing in the small arena.

Suppose I told you that last year, I made 75 trades that lost money, and 25 that made money. In the eyes of most people, that would make me a pretty poor trader. I’m wrong 75% of the time. But what if I told you that my average loss was $1000, but my average profit on a winning trade was $10,000? That means that I lost $75,000 on trades – but I made $250,000, making my overall profit $175,000. It’s a pretty clear numbers game – but how do you keep on trading when you’re losing in trade after trade? Simple – just remember that one trade does not make or break a trader. Focus on the trade at hand, follow the triggers that you’ve set up – but define yourself by what really matters – the overall record.
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